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Social Sentiment Cycles have been “spot-on” for EUR/USD
/in Frontpage Article, Sentiment/by LvTCycles predicted biggest 30 day increase in EURUSD ahead of time
In a public article on March 22th, we issued the analysis on the EURUSD currency pair based on social sentiment cycles. The EURUSD was following a long lasting downtrend for over a year and the important question on March 22th was if the current price action is just a “pause” of the downtrend and the start of a larger upswing?
EURUSD – Situation 201th March
We used our cycles toolkit to get a clue out of this situation and used the sentiment data provided by PsychSignal to check if there are dominant cycles active.
The dominant cycles showed a clear picture – we expected a bounce as sentiment cycle started to turn positive. This was posted in several public blogs ahead of time.
Now, 1,5 month later – we have the result in. A sharp increase of over +5% just after our analysis.
EURUSD – Cycles Prediction Outcome
The EUR/USD currency started it biggest 30days uprun since 2013 just after our warning. The long-term chart shows that we have not seen such an upswing during the last 2,5 years.
EURUSD 30days change
You can re-read our original article here and the PsychSignal blog post here.
Download PDF Article
Dynamic Cycle Phasing
/in Frontpage Article, Science & Research/by LvTPlease watch the following introduction of a new dynamic cycle based indicator. A dynamic cycles-within-cycles alignment toolset – extending the knowledge and usage of the Dynamic Cycle Explorer.
Download SlideDeck as .pdf
[…] You must have Membership Level to access & download study. Please configure your account.
Here is a study of the Cycle Phasing and Cycle Swing Indicator signals on a 16k volume ES EMini futures chart:
Cycle Phasing & Cycle Swing Indicator
A follow up of the used introduction slide deck on the SPX – first time for over a year: we now have a peak above 150 treshold on 14 April 2015:
SPX CyclePhasing Juncture
SPX / VIX Dynamic Cycles Snapshot
/in Frontpage Article, General News, Science & Research, WTT News/by LvTAll In now (on the short side) [28th April]!
This juncture was posted first on March 29th here [updated 14th and 28th April]. Re-read the original dynamic cycle analysis. The current situation – one month later- shows us that this juncture is still valid while markets have moved sideways, some other started to turn down already.
Please read attached cycle juncture. (29th March 2015)
DOWNLOAD LINK
Update [April 14th] – Cycle Phasing score >150 now in confirmation:
SPX CyclePhasing Juncture
Update [28th April] – dynamic cycles projectio still valid – here is the update:
Cycle Swing Indicator Divergence Pattern:
Social Sentiment Cycles Situation [April 28th] (DataSource: PsychSignal):
Download .pdf: SPX_SocialMediaSentiment_28042015
EURO – Dominant Social Media Sentiment Cycle
/in Frontpage Article, Science & Research, Sentiment/by LvTData as of 20th March 2015 / Data Source: PsychSignal
[ DOWNLOAD CHARTS AS .PDF ]
I. Sentiment Cycle (detected on social media sentiment from PsychSignal)
Euro Social Media Sentiment Cycle
II. Sentiment Cycle tops/bottoms mapped to EUR/USD price chart
Social Media Sentiment mapped to EUR/USD price chart
( Signal was published 20. March 2015 at a price of 1.081 )
added: UPDATE [June 12th]
RESULTS ARE IN – READ OR WATCH THE REVIEW OF THIS LIVE FORECAST HERE:
Read PDF Aricle
Video step-by-step review of this forecast (30min.)
Bitcoin Realtime Datafeed
/in Knowledge & Academy/by LvTNew experimental Bitcoin realtime datafeed
As new markets are emerging, it is interesting to get the new charts and currency rate conversions in realtime on a price chart. New exchanges to trade bitcoin against the currency pairs like EUR and USD offer new trading possibilities. Why not use our cycle tools to analyze the bitcoin exchange rate in realtime?
Here we go. The new added datafeed “Bitcoin” is available now with the next release. It makes use of the free availabel APIs from different bitcoin markets. We build up a datafeed which uses the markets where the most volume is trades. So we are mixing different APIs in one datafeed here.
Here are the usage infos:
There are only two pairs which can be charted:
The symbols can only be charted in the period of minutes with the following settings for minutes:
The current update frequency is set to 20 seconds. Be carefull with higher rates and the APIs might limit access to realtime data.
Please see the following video for short demonstration:
One more thing…
/in Sentiment, WTT News/by LvTWait, the announcement of Apple moving into the DOW and the iWatch is not all. There is one more thing…
Interesting times and not surprising that APPLE will be part of the DOW Index and currently annoucning the iwatch. This usually happens at Social Media Sentiment Cycle tops. The following charts should speak for themselv. The dominant cycle is not as prominant as it was in the Silver situation, but a one that is worth to follow. (Data as of March 10 2015)
I. Isolating the dominant social media sentiment cycle
Apple Dominant Cycle – Social Media Sentiment
II. Mapping the social media sentiment cycle to price chart
AAPL price chart with dominant sentiment cycle
III. Performance statistics of the (static) cycle
AAPL sentiment cycle performance
Follow the forecast on the AAPL realtime chart. (Signal was published 10. March 2015 before US market opening at a closing price of 127 (09.March))
The takeaway of this cycle analysis should be self-explanatory.
Thanks to PsychSignal for providing the sentiment data.
Here is the .pdf with charts: One_more_thing
LinkedIn Pulse: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/apple-dominant-social-media-sentiment-cycles-lars-von-thienen