Photo by Matt Paul Catalano on Unsplash

Cycles warned: The worst first four months of a new year!

What a wave it has been!

We are experiencing the worst first four months of a new year, since the late 1930s!

  • The S&P 500 lost 14 percent, which was last seen in the comparable period in 1939.
  • The Nasdaq is down 22% year-to-date. Experiencing its worst first four months of any year since its birth in 1971.
  • The famed Ark Innovation ETF is down 52%.

Seventy-nine percent of stocks in the S&P 500 went downhill in what was otherwise a particularly good season for the stock market.

Cycles forecasted this upcoming wave back in late 2021. I have warned the whentotrade community back in October 2021:


Now, the facts are in.

Please read my current newsletter update here:

Surfin the wave

Article update

Cycles Technology being nominated for “Technical Analyst Award”

I am very proud to learn today that our cycle analysis technology has been nominated as a finalist for the 2022 Technical Analyst Award.

In both categories:


the cycle technology is now nominated as a Finalist!

For the past two years, and in addition to our advanced analyst and professional Cycle.Tools suite, we have provided and re-branded our basic cycle analysis technology to the Foundation for the Study of Cycles as part of my role as a member of the Board of Directors. It has been a long road to get here. From the idea, to the first book and various software evolution stages. The result of about 15 years of hard work and love for the subject.

Many thanks also to all companions, customers and users. Without you I would not have been able to keep up the energy and motivation.

You can read more here in the official annoucement:

Technical Analyst Awards 2022

Finalists 2022

S&P500 weekly chart

S&P500 – Long-term cycles are rolling over – A view from the top?

Analyzing the S&P500 weekly from a long term perspective, 3 dominant weekly cycles are currently rolling over into another phase.

Please check the chart and workbook:

S&P500 weekly chart

S&P500 weekly cycles


Please check the interactive workbook:


Please subscribe to my substack newsletter if you want to get updates and news:

TradingView Cycle Integration

TradingView Cycle Analysis Integration Available

TradingView Cycle Analysis

Announcement: Realtime back-to-back integration of our cycle analysis platform with TradingView

The new live back-to-back integration between the cycle analysis engine and TradingView real-time charts allows you to monitor your favorite symbols with real-time cycle analysis. Any symbol, any time frame – live and in real time.

Webinar Video

Live seminar on how to setup your integration between TradingView and the cycle analysis application.


The online documentation provides a step-by-step instruction on how to setup your charts and alerts with TradingView and how to connect them.

MotiveWave Cycle Tools

MotiveWave Cycle Analysis – Cycle Indicators

MotiveWave Cycle Analysis Integration

We are proud to announce integration for MotiveWave cycle analysis tools. The MotiveWave free Community Edition charting software has high quality charting, Replay Mode & built-in trade simulation.

The following WhenToTrade cycle indicators are supported and included:

  • Dynamic Cycle Explorer (DCE)
    The Cycle-Swing Indicator is fast, clear and smooth. You get better timing, greater accuracy, and better signals.
  • Cyclic-smoothed RSI (cRSI)
    The cyclic-smoothed RSI indicator allows to use the dominant cycle length to adjust to the current market vibration to provide better signals compared to the standard RSI indicator.
  • Cycle Swing Indicator (CSI)
    Our Cycle Explorer allows to detect the current dominant cycle on any chart, any time-frame and plots it into the future.

The following chart illustrates the indicators on a MotiveWave chart:

MotiveWave Cycle Tools

You can download the latest package from our documentation here:

The MotiveWave integration will be discussed in our InsideWebinar 27 Feb. 2021. You can review our InsideWebinars here.